Doomwatch!… Is a storm forming in the Gulf? 31 Aug 202631 Aug 2026 TL;DR: Is a storm forming in the Gulf? Maybe. Is a threat? Probably not, but it's complicated. I am sometimes accused of downplaying storm threats, but understand my perspective is…
Tropical Cyclones Elevated levels of “meh” in the Atlantic; Pacific active but no threats 30 Aug 202630 Aug 2026 TL;DR: NHC has the blob in the Gulf at 20%, but does advise TX/LA to "monitor." Storm formerly known as Dolly moving through northern Caribbean, just a rain thing. Elsewhere…
Tropical Cyclones Dolly update for Friday Morning 28 Aug 202628 Aug 2026 Tropical Storm Dolly is a small area of convection in the midst of a broad pinwheel of clouds on the visual satellite image as the sun rises over the Atlantic…
Tropical Cyclones NHC Starts advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly 27 Aug 202627 Aug 2026 As expected NHC started advisories on AL042026, Tropical Storm Dolly. Dolly is expected to be short lived ... Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Dolly (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Here's my…
Tropical Cyclones Saudel near landfall, AL96 may briefly become a storm today 27 Aug 202627 Aug 2026 TL;DR: the blob in the Atlantic is still at 70% chance of spinup per NHC, looks more organized this morning but is about to hit an unfavorable environment. Typhoon Saudel…
Tropical Cyclones Red Blob of Doom in the Atlantic! Pacific remains active 25 Aug 202625 Aug 2026 TL;DR: increasing potential for a storm in the Atlantic, but likely to be of interest to fish and fish related activities. Pacific is super busy. And some reminders about how…
Tropical Cyclones Watching the Atlantic blobs, Pacific still where the aciton is 24 Aug 202624 Aug 2026 Note: the NHC web page was broken as of 6:30am this morning, some of it seems working again as of 7am but it's still wonky. Looking at Disturbance #1 on…
Tropical Cyclones… Moke to brush Hawai’i, Saudel targets Okinawa, bloborama in the Atlantic 22 Aug 202622 Aug 2026 The global tropical cyclone map is busy this morning, but at the moment only two of the storms are significant threats: Tropical Storm Moke near Hawai'i, and Typhoon Saudel tracking…
Tropical Cyclones Lala brush with Hawai’i, Atlantic uninteresting 15 Aug 202615 Aug 2026 Lala is a few hours away from the Big Island, likely to just brush the south coast as a tropical storm or minimal hurricane. Here's the CPHC Key messages regarding…
Tropical Cyclones Tropical Updates 14 August 2026 14 Aug 202614 Aug 2026 TL;DR: Lala will be flirting with Hurricane force as it passes Hawai'i over or just south of the Big Island tomorrow. Atlantic stuff still blob like, maybe some rain/gusty winds…
