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Category: Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Cyclones

Lala brush with Hawai’i, Atlantic uninteresting

15 Aug 202615 Aug 2026
Lala is a few hours away from the Big Island, likely to just brush the south coast as a tropical storm or minimal hurricane. Here's the CPHC Key messages regarding…
Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Updates 14 August 2026

14 Aug 202614 Aug 2026
TL;DR: Lala will be flirting with Hurricane force as it passes Hawai'i over or just south of the Big Island tomorrow. Atlantic stuff still blob like, maybe some rain/gusty winds…
Tropical Cyclones

Quick tropical updates for Atlantic and Hawai’i

12 Aug 202612 Aug 2026
TL;DR: Tropical storm for Hawai'i looks more likely. Two of the disturbances in the Atlantic have been upgraded to Invest areas, only one matters. Tropical Storm Chan-Hom raining out over…
Geophysics…

The Blob is Red!!?11?? Hawai’i, Japan update

11 Aug 202611 Aug 2026
NHC has now increased the odds of something forming in the Atlantic later this week out of distirbance #1 to 70%. Here's the NHC outlook over an IR image ...…
Doomwatch!…

August Atlantic Blobwatch continues, busy Pacific

10 Aug 202610 Aug 2026
TL;DR: one of the three disturbances in the Atlantic might become a depression later in the week (probably be a fish storm if it does). Pacific is busy, with Hawai'i…
Doomwatch!…

Return of the Blobs of Doom

9 Aug 20269 Aug 2026
Much to the relief of the Atlantic tropical weather-doomer community, who had been reduced to feeding on stories of super-El Ninos and "below normal" activity predictions, there are now two…
Tropical Cyclones

Typhoon Dolphin hits Okinawa, China next; Chan-Hom headed to northern Japan

7 Aug 20267 Aug 2026
Busy in the West Pacific this morning ... Typhoon Dolphin looks to have passed north of Okinawa this evening (morning US East Coast time): click any image to embiggen. The…
Tropical Cyclones…

Quick Tuesday Updates

4 Aug 20264 Aug 2026
Quick updates on Typhoon Dolphin and Savannah area rains. Typhoon Dolphin continues to track directly towards Okinawa: click any image to embiggen. It remains impressive on IR this evening (Okinawa…
Tropical Cyclones…

Rain in Savannah, Typhoon Dolphin heads to Okinawa

3 Aug 20263 Aug 2026
Quick update to add: NWS Charleston sent this note about the thunderstorms this morning: Here's their note: Waterspouts: Forecast sounding output and elevated non-supercelltornado parameters values over the nearshore and…
Tropical Cyclones…

Mostly just hot and humid and (ironically) dry

30 Jul 202630 Jul 2026
Tropical storm Fauso has broken up north of Hawai'i, Genevieve is weakening well away from land, Typhoon Dolphin is spinning up in the West Pacific and may be an issue…

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