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Category: Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Cyclones

Lowell tracking to just brush Kauai, Niihau

6 Sep 20266 Sep 2026
Lowell is well into its turn to the north, and as often happens when a storm suddenly changes direction in response to powerful steering it dropped a category, but it's…
Tropical Cyclones

Quick Lowell update before doing yard work …

5 Sep 20265 Sep 2026
Hurricane Lowell is an impressive Category 4 storm on IR this morning, almost a Cat 5: It has slowed and is seems to be starting the turn to the north.…
Tropical Cyclones

Lowell track shifting away from Kauai?

4 Sep 20264 Sep 2026
TL;DR: Indications that Lowell track may be shifting to the west, which would be great. Still watching the West Pacific, where tropical storm Krovanh is doing a loop around Okinawa…
Tropical Cyclones

Edouard rains, potentially bad scenario setting up for Kauai (Hawaii)

3 Sep 20263 Sep 2026
Edouard may not have been much of a tropical storm from a wind/storm surge standpoint, but it is dumping epic amounts of rain in Texas. The radar-derived totals over the…
Tropical Cyclones

Edouardo forms, NHC worries

1 Sep 20261 Sep 2026
Yesterday Invest area AL97 went from potential tropical cyclone to tropical depression to tropical storm. In this morning's forecast discussion, NHC worries it could actually become a hurricane before landfal.…
Doomwatch!…

Is a storm forming in the Gulf?

31 Aug 202631 Aug 2026
TL;DR: Is a storm forming in the Gulf? Maybe. Is a threat? Probably not, but it's complicated. I am sometimes accused of downplaying storm threats, but understand my perspective is…
Tropical Cyclones

Elevated levels of “meh” in the Atlantic; Pacific active but no threats

30 Aug 202630 Aug 2026
TL;DR: NHC has the blob in the Gulf at 20%, but does advise TX/LA to "monitor." Storm formerly known as Dolly moving through northern Caribbean, just a rain thing. Elsewhere…
Tropical Cyclones

NHC discontinues advisories on Dolly

28 Aug 202628 Aug 2026
At 11am today (Friday) NHC discontinued advisories on Dolly since it has degenerated into an open wave. What does that mean? In order to be classified as a tropical cyclone,…
Tropical Cyclones

Dolly update for Friday Morning

28 Aug 202628 Aug 2026
Tropical Storm Dolly is a small area of convection in the midst of a broad pinwheel of clouds on the visual satellite image as the sun rises over the Atlantic…
Tropical Cyclones

NHC Starts advisories on Tropical Storm Dolly

27 Aug 202627 Aug 2026
As expected NHC started advisories on AL042026, Tropical Storm Dolly. Dolly is expected to be short lived ... Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Dolly (en EspaƱol: Mensajes Claves). Here's my…

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