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Month: September 2026

Doomwatch!…

Blob fades, ENSO hype

18 Sep 202618 Sep 2026
The blob fades, but the scary hype about the El NiƱo continues. First, quick tropical overview. The Atlantic Blob is now only 10% and fading ... East Pacific is very…
Doomwatch!…

Your lack of misery, and blobwatch

17 Sep 202617 Sep 2026
The oppressive heat wave in the Frogmore Metroplex and the surrounding environs has abated somewhat. But how miserable aren't you? We have the numbers ready so you can impress your…
Tropical Cyclones

Blob in the Atlantic, memories of a lifetime at war

14 Sep 202614 Sep 2026
NHC started posting a yellow blob of doom on the tropical outlook yesterday, and while the short term outlook is 0%, this morning the seven day outlook is up to…
Tropical Cyclones

Lowell hitting Niihau/Kauai hard this morning

8 Sep 2026
Lowell continuted it's eastward track shift and is passing just offshore of the western main islands of Hawaii this morning. It is highly sheared now, and doesn't look symmetrical on…
Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Lowell literally takes a turn for the worse

7 Sep 20267 Sep 2026
Lowell made its turn to the north yesterday. Unfortunately, it turned a bit more northeast than expected, and the latest tracks put the hurricane force winds dangerously close to Niihau…
Tropical Cyclones

Lowell tracking to just brush Kauai, Niihau

6 Sep 20266 Sep 2026
Lowell is well into its turn to the north, and as often happens when a storm suddenly changes direction in response to powerful steering it dropped a category, but it's…
Tropical Cyclones

Quick Lowell update before doing yard work …

5 Sep 20265 Sep 2026
Hurricane Lowell is an impressive Category 4 storm on IR this morning, almost a Cat 5: It has slowed and is seems to be starting the turn to the north.…
Tropical Cyclones

Lowell track shifting away from Kauai?

4 Sep 20264 Sep 2026
TL;DR: Indications that Lowell track may be shifting to the west, which would be great. Still watching the West Pacific, where tropical storm Krovanh is doing a loop around Okinawa…
Tropical Cyclones

Edouard rains, potentially bad scenario setting up for Kauai (Hawaii)

3 Sep 20263 Sep 2026
Edouard may not have been much of a tropical storm from a wind/storm surge standpoint, but it is dumping epic amounts of rain in Texas. The radar-derived totals over the…
Tropical Cyclones

Edouardo forms, NHC worries

1 Sep 20261 Sep 2026
Yesterday Invest area AL97 went from potential tropical cyclone to tropical depression to tropical storm. In this morning's forecast discussion, NHC worries it could actually become a hurricane before landfal.…
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