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Month: May 2026

Tropical Cyclones…

Rain update, invest in West Pacific

26 May 202626 May 2026
TL;DR: conditions remain unsettled across the southeastern US, with some areas getting too much rain and others not enough. Medium chance of a tropical storm forming in the West Pacific…
Weather Hazards

Wet (hopefully) few days in store for Memorial Day weekend … why the sea breeze matters

23 May 202623 May 2026
A slow moving and finally stalling frontal boundary is moving into the Southeast should bring a few days of rain potential, as well as some thunderstorms. Here's the national view…
Doomwatch!…

New Seasonal outlooks are up, rain on the way (maybe)

21 May 202621 May 2026
NOAA has posted the new seasonal outlooks that include the updated ENSO forecasts. The outlook for breaking the drought across the Southeast isn't wonderful, although the probabilities favor normal rain…
Weather Hazards

Savannah soil moisture back below 50%

19 May 202619 May 2026
At least in midtown, the available soil moisture is back below 50%. That is the point most plants can no longer draw water out of the soil, and is classified…
Doomwatch!…

Hurricane season starting, and ZOMG! a super El NiƱo this year?

17 May 202618 May 2026
First, hurricane season is lurching towards us, and as of Friday (15 May) the National Hurricane Center and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center have started their outlooks. The official season…
Tropical Cyclones…

Drought Watch Continues

15 May 202615 May 2026
Although we did get a bit of rain over the last week, it hardly moved the needle with respect to the drought index across Coastal GA and SC Lowcountry, according…
Weather Hazards

Skunked again? Rain chances today crash.

11 May 202611 May 2026
Just a quick note in between watching the rough beast slouching towards Bethlehem to lament the fact the rain chances here on the coast have crashed. There is a band…
Severe Weather…

Finally a good soaking rain? TS Hagupit update.

9 May 20269 May 2026
It looks like the southeast and, more importantly (or at least selfishly) coastal GA/SC will get a couple days of rain with accumulations over 2" expected across a broad area.…
Research!…

Pacific depression, local rains, and why are the maps so blocky?

6 May 20266 May 2026
TL;DR: a tropical depression has spun up in the Western Pacific. It will become a typhoon, but at the moment looks to mostly avoid land. Another system will bring some…
Weather Hazards

Local rain wrap-up (Sun. 3 May 2026)

3 May 20263 May 2026
With all that is going on in the news, seems a bit narcissistic to talk about the local weather and the fact we finally got some rain, but it matters…

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