Rain update, invest in West Pacific

TL;DR: conditions remain unsettled across the southeastern US, with some areas getting too much rain and others not enough. Medium chance of a tropical storm forming in the West Pacific in the next day or so.

The complex system stalled over the southeast has dumped over 6″ of rain in places, yet here in Midtown Savannah just over 0.1″ over the last three days. More rain is on the way, here are the ECM and GFS forecasts for the rest of this week – click any image for the full size view.

There are flood watches over a large swath of the southeast this morning …

Map showing current NWS weather watches and warnings for the southeastern United States, including areas of Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, and adjacent states. Color-coded hazards include flood warnings, high wind advisories, and more.

In terms of rain totals over the last three days, here’s the big picture:

Map showing 72-hour total rainfall amounts across the Southeastern United States as of 7:00 AM on May 26, 2026, with color-coded rainfall levels.

Zooming in for coastal GA and the SC Lowcountry …

A weather map displaying 72-hour rain totals in inches across Georgia and South Carolina on May 26, 2026. The map features various colors indicating rainfall intensity, with labels for key cities like Dublin, Statesboro, Savannah, and Charleston.

and here’s a closer view of Savannah with the contour lines labeled:

Weather map showing 72-hour total rainfall amounts across southeast Georgia as of May 26, 2026, at 7:00 AM, with varying shades of blue, green, and brown indicating different levels of precipitation.

As you can see, what you got depends on where you are. You may have next to nothing, but literally a few blocks away might have seen over 1″, even 2″.

As the forecast maps above show, more on the way, likely to be very spotty (more like the ECM map than the smoother GFS presentation).


Tropical storm forming off the Philippines, looks to stay offshore for now. Should have a better analysis if/when it spins up.

Weather map showing the track models for tropical system INVEST WP99, with various forecasting models represented in different colors across the East Asia region.

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