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Category: Severe Weather

Research!…

Cold Front, CAPE, and the drought (April 18 2026)

18 Apr 202618 Apr 2026
TL;DR: a cold front is moving through the midwest, some thunderstorms this afternoon/evening but limited severity. Unfortunately the front doesn't look to bring rain to the southeast and the drought…
Administrative…

New graphic on the Frogmore Metro page

16 Mar 202616 Mar 2026
NWS now pushes so many different types of watches and warnings that the maps are getting really messy, so I've started setting up simplified subsets. The first one is online…
Severe Weather

Storms coming earlier today (Monday)

16 Mar 202616 Mar 2026
Not much to add to yesterday's preview other than the storms are moving a big faster that forecast so the bad weather will be arriving (and clearing out) earlier. Here's…
Severe Weather

Severe weather possible Today (Sunday) and Monday

15 Mar 202615 Mar 2026
Whenever contrasting air masses collide, you get severe weather, and that is what is happening over the central US today, and will move into the South and Central Atlantic overnight…
Doomwatch!…

Tornado watch inland, line of thunderstorms today for GA/SC coast

12 Mar 202612 Mar 2026
Sorry have been swamped with the Iran thing, but am watching the line of thunderstorms that is approaching Macon and headed for the today coast ... There is rotation in…
Severe Weather…

Doomwatch for Sat/Sun, 21/22 Feb 2026

21 Feb 202621 Feb 2026
Doesn't look like much yet, but big storm system is brewing in the south today, and will be evolving into a powerful nor'easter tomorrow. Visual band from GOES East of…
Severe Weather

First spring storm system of 2026 pushes through southeast

15 Feb 202615 Feb 2026
An impressive storm system is making its way across the south today. Unlike the last few storms, this one is entirely rain, with some on and off again convective squall…
Severe Weather

Valentines Day storm now scheduled for Presidents Day …

12 Feb 202612 Feb 2026
The much hyped Valentines Day storm system that doesn't exist yet is now forecast to mostly be a Sunday the 15th and Monday the 16th thing, and not so dramatic…
Severe Weather…

Valentines day storms?

10 Feb 202610 Feb 2026
It feels like I spend a lot of time here debunking weather dooming and hype. It's gotten really bad lately. A growing problem is that anybody can take model graphics…
Severe Weather

Timing update for Coastal GA/SC Snow

30 Jan 202630 Jan 2026
Not much to add to yesterday's outlook, Frogmore looks to get 1-2" of snow, Savannah around an inch. As you move south, Hinesville should see less than that, by the…

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