Climate… About the Billion Dollar Event discussion 12 Sep 202315 Sep 2023 NOAA tracks "Billion Dollar Disasters" and there are a number of news stories today that this year is on track for a record number of them. Evidence for climate change?…
Research!… Lee Update – why should it turn away from Florida? 7 Sep 20237 Sep 2023 This morning's (Thu. 7 Sept 2023) 5am forecast was pretty much the same as the previous forecasts. We'll take a look at why in a bit, but first lets look…
Administrative… Why I don’t post more often 5 Sep 20235 Sep 2023 I often get messages asking why I don't post more often. Since during storms I tend to get more followers, I thought I'd do a post for newcomers to describe…
Doomwatch!… Idalia and Savannah: What is wind? 30 Aug 202330 Aug 2023 TLDR: going to be a rough afternoon/evening in coastal Georgia, however, it's not likely there will be hurricane force winds inland north of Hazlehurt-Jesup-Darien, except right on the coast. Coastal…
Doomwatch!… Idalia evening update, Tue. 29 August 29 Aug 202329 Aug 2023 Latest from NHC is in their Key Messages regarding Hurricane Idalia (en Español: Mensajes Claves) - landfall track shifted about 20 miles west for landfall, but still curves over Savannah and…
Research!… Quick hilary wrapup 22 Aug 202322 Aug 2023 Hurricane/Tropical Storm Hilary dumped a lot of rain (by their standards) across southern California. Looking at Palm Springs, for example, their normal rainfall as of August 22 is 3.21 inches.…
Doomwatch!… Are there really three Atlantic storms? 21 Aug 202321 Aug 2023 Technically yes, but it's complicated if you are trying to compare this year with history. First let's review what we have, then consider what (if anything) it means. Still watching…
Doomwatch!… Hilary threatens America! 17 Aug 202317 Aug 2023 No, not that one, the tropical storm (soon to be hurricane) off the west coast of Mexico. After several weeks of the tropical action being in the West and Central…
Research!… Talim making landfall in China; Whose forecast is it anyway? 17 Jul 202317 Jul 2023 TLDR: Atlantic - Don may become a tropical storm but is only of interest to fish and ships. East Pacific: Calvin is weakening but may brush Hawaii as a weak…
Climate… Some thoughts on extremes 27 Jun 2023 There's an early summer heat wave in the central US, with temperatures pushing 100F and, due to the humidity, heat stress values into the danger zone across wide swaths of…