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Category: Doomwatch!

Doomwatch!…

Your lack of misery, and blobwatch

17 Sep 202617 Sep 2026
The oppressive heat wave in the Frogmore Metroplex and the surrounding environs has abated somewhat. But how miserable aren't you? We have the numbers ready so you can impress your…
Doomwatch!…

Is a storm forming in the Gulf?

31 Aug 202631 Aug 2026
TL;DR: Is a storm forming in the Gulf? Maybe. Is a threat? Probably not, but it's complicated. I am sometimes accused of downplaying storm threats, but understand my perspective is…
Doomwatch!…

Storms in the Pacific, “meh” level blobs in the Atlantic

21 Aug 202621 Aug 2026
TL;DR: New tropical depression (soon to be tropical storm) threatens Hawai'i, Saudel strengthening in Mariana Islands, headed towards Guam/Southern Japan. Atlantic has blobs but not threats at the moment (or…
Doomwatch!…

August Atlantic Blobwatch continues, busy Pacific

10 Aug 202610 Aug 2026
TL;DR: one of the three disturbances in the Atlantic might become a depression later in the week (probably be a fish storm if it does). Pacific is busy, with Hawai'i…
Doomwatch!…

Return of the Blobs of Doom

9 Aug 20269 Aug 2026
Much to the relief of the Atlantic tropical weather-doomer community, who had been reduced to feeding on stories of super-El Ninos and "below normal" activity predictions, there are now two…
Doomwatch!…

Tropical Depression Two Monday Morning Update

20 Jul 202620 Jul 2026
As always your best source of information is the National Hurricane Center's Key messages regarding Tropical Depression Two (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Be very cautious of social media, lots of fake…
Doomwatch!…

Watching the Gulf

19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026
Update: at 8am, odds boosted, and advisories likely. NHC has been slowly bumping up the probabilities of at least a tropical depression forming in the Gulf, now at 60% (double…
Doomwatch!…

ZOMG! A BLOB! Threat condition, um, meh.

27 Jun 202627 Jun 2026
In this morning's outlook NHC has plopped a blob off the U.S. East Coast ... click any image to embiggen. So should you panic? Will the stores run out of…
Doomwatch!…

Arthur remnants blowing through coast today

19 Jun 202619 Jun 2026
The remnants of Arthur are blowing through today. Not much organized circulation or winds, although NHC does have it tagged with a very low (10%) chance of reforming off the…
Doomwatch!…

Tropical Storm Arthur?

17 Jun 202617 Jun 2026
At the 11am update, NHC upgraded PTC1 to Tropical Storm Arthur. Seems sketchy to me, but it's their call to make. Here's the Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Arthur (en Español:…

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