Tropical Cyclones Bertha deteriorating 22 Jul 202622 Jul 2026 Bertha looks pretty ragged this morning, on the IR view you'd hardly recognize it as a storm ... the center of the circulation is just off the Mississippi coast, nowhere…
Tropical Cyclones Beware the Cone of Shame (Bertha update 21 July) 21 Jul 202621 Jul 2026 Last night NHC upgraded TD2 to Tropical Storm Bertha: Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Bertha (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Here's the current radar and rash of warnings across the northern Gulf…
Doomwatch!… Tropical Depression Two Monday Morning Update 20 Jul 202620 Jul 2026 As always your best source of information is the National Hurricane Center's Key messages regarding Tropical Depression Two (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Be very cautious of social media, lots of fake…
Tropical Cyclones Sorry about the spam: NHC starts advisories on TD2 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 As expected NHC started advisories on Tropical Depression Two. Here's the latest guidance - the TL;DR hasn't changed from this morning's discussions on the blog . Here's the official track…
Tropical Cyclones The blob goes red! 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 At the 8am update, NHC upped the odds for some kind of tropical cyclone formation in the Gulf to 80%. Here's the relavent text: Interests along the northern Gulf coast…
Doomwatch!… Watching the Gulf 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 Update: at 8am, odds boosted, and advisories likely. NHC has been slowly bumping up the probabilities of at least a tropical depression forming in the Gulf, now at 60% (double…
Tropical Cyclones Magic words appear for Florida, but still mostly looks like rain. 18 Jul 202618 Jul 2026 In the 8am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC added some "magic words" to the forecast: Interests along the Florida west coast and Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system…
Tropical Cyclones The Blob Shifts West 18 Jul 202618 Jul 2026 NHC's Yellow Blob of Doom (BOD) in the northwestern Gulf has shifted west with the guidance now showing the low headed that way rather than across Florida and into the…
Tropical Cyclones Still “Meh” in the Atlantic 17 Jul 202617 Jul 2026 Checking in on the Dachshund index, it's time to stop doomscrolling, so stop and smell the flowers ... click to embiggen, then go smell some flowers, followed by a quick…
Tropical Cyclones Blobwatch Continues 16 Jul 202616 Jul 2026 First an administrative note. GOES-19 (East) is offline, NOAA is working on trying to restore it, no idea what happened at this point or how long it will be offline.…
