Just a quick note in between watching the rough beast slouching towards Bethlehem to lament the fact the rain chances here on the coast have crashed. There is a band of dry air visible in the water vapor image this morning (the tan/orange stuff)…
Probabilities dropped for rain this afternoon/evening from 80% to 40%, and the latest HRRR run at 5am shows it passing north and south of the GA/SC Lowcountry …
As always we will have to wait and see. SPC has the area in a “marginal” risk for severe thunderstorms, so any storms that do manage to spin up aren’t likely to be dangerous unless you’re really unlucky.
Maybe a slim chance for rain Wednesday, otherwise, back to watching the soil moisture gauge continue a downward slide from the brief respite last week.
Hi Enki (I call you Enki like it’s your name), I have a question unrelated to this post. I am watching a new documentary about Katrina (the one), and I want to know if Savannah could see similar degrees of destruction from a large direct hit. I know the conditions are different (we don’t have levees, and we are likely to perform an evacuation better than what happened for Katrina). But under the worst case scenario, what are we looking at? Life loss, property loss estimates. Maybe you have already written about this. Can you direct me to that analysis? Thank you so much.