NOAA has posted the new seasonal outlooks that include the updated ENSO forecasts. The outlook for breaking the drought across the Southeast isn’t wonderful, although the probabilities favor normal rain totals, we could really use a bit above normal to recover the deep soil moisture. Here is the June/July/August outlook:
Sept/Oct/Nov:
and the outlook for this winter:
We’ll have to see how the rainfall comes and at what intervals. Maybe this guy can help …
As for temperatures, looks like a hotter than average summer, which won’t help even if we do get normal rain. Full CPC forecast is at this link.
Speaking of rain, the outlook for this weekend is more promising than it looked earlier in the week. We may get 1-2″ on the coast, with the potential for too much rain across Louisiana and possibly spots of Alabama and Central Georgia …
Tropics are quiet.
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I thought the Old Farmer’s Almanac said a cooler and wetter summer for us???
I think there’s more than one Old Farmer’s Almanac. One that I saw said hot and dry. The official outlook is hot and wet. So I guess that covers the bases 😛 …
We all need to wear a cunning hat.
I actually have one of those!