Tropical Cyclones Noul to hit Hong Kong, Surf’s Up in Hawai’i from Fausto 25 Jul 202625 Jul 2026 TL;DR: swell (waves) from Fausto should reach Hawai'i tomorrow, uncertain how much wind/rain. Typhoon Noul landfall today near Hong Kong (tonight in China) and is already causing some damage. Atlantic…
Tropical Cyclones Bertha gone, Fausto might impact Hawai’i, Noul to hit Hong Kong 24 Jul 202624 Jul 2026 Bertha has degeneraged to an open trough, and is no more ... as always, click any image to embiggen. Elsewhere in the Atlantic and Gulf is quiet. Hurricane Fausot might…
Tropical Cyclones Bertha, Fausto updates (Thu. 23 July) 23 Jul 202623 Jul 2026 Bertha made landfall in Louisiana yesterday, but as noted virtually all of the adverse effects were well offshore in this highly sheared, asymmetric system. Not seeing any reports of serious…
Tropical Cyclones Bertha deteriorating 22 Jul 202622 Jul 2026 Bertha looks pretty ragged this morning, on the IR view you'd hardly recognize it as a storm ... the center of the circulation is just off the Mississippi coast, nowhere…
Tropical Cyclones Beware the Cone of Shame (Bertha update 21 July) 21 Jul 202621 Jul 2026 Last night NHC upgraded TD2 to Tropical Storm Bertha: Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Bertha (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Here's the current radar and rash of warnings across the northern Gulf…
Doomwatch!… Tropical Depression Two Monday Morning Update 20 Jul 202620 Jul 2026 As always your best source of information is the National Hurricane Center's Key messages regarding Tropical Depression Two (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Be very cautious of social media, lots of fake…
Tropical Cyclones Sorry about the spam: NHC starts advisories on TD2 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 As expected NHC started advisories on Tropical Depression Two. Here's the latest guidance - the TL;DR hasn't changed from this morning's discussions on the blog . Here's the official track…
Tropical Cyclones The blob goes red! 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 At the 8am update, NHC upped the odds for some kind of tropical cyclone formation in the Gulf to 80%. Here's the relavent text: Interests along the northern Gulf coast…
Doomwatch!… Watching the Gulf 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 Update: at 8am, odds boosted, and advisories likely. NHC has been slowly bumping up the probabilities of at least a tropical depression forming in the Gulf, now at 60% (double…
Tropical Cyclones Magic words appear for Florida, but still mostly looks like rain. 18 Jul 202618 Jul 2026 In the 8am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC added some "magic words" to the forecast: Interests along the Florida west coast and Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system…