NHC to start advisories on AL92 this evening

The thing in the Gulf is getting better organized, latest analysis shows a circulation getting set up:

Weather map showing wind velocity and direction with orange arrows, blue shaded areas, and contour lines indicating specific altitudes.

and it looks like NHC will start advisories on it this evening. Here’s the latest (3pm) satellite loop:

Nothing substantive changed from this morning’s analysis. Tracking still focused on the LA/MS/AL junction in the northern Gulf. Could be anything from a weak depression/rain event to at Category One hurricane. If it becomes a tropical storm it will be called Isaias. More in the morning.

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