TL;DR: NHC has the blob in the Gulf at 20%, but does advise TX/LA to “monitor.” Storm formerly known as Dolly moving through northern Caribbean, just a rain thing. Elsewhere active, yet quiet …
That said, this morning’s Tropical Weather Outlook has “magic words” in it:
A weak area of low pressure located about 100 miles south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days as it drifts westward across the northern Gulf. Interests along the Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system.
Even though chances are low, it’s so close to land that if something spins up there won’t be much time to issue warnings. That’s why the “monitor” phrase appears. Here’s a closer look at the track maps, but of course that is only half the story (note no statistics at this point since we need at least a day for that, and the lines in the lower right are from ex-Dolly):
AL97 looks to sort of wobble along the coast. How strong? Only the ever-excitable HFS models show it as a tropical storm … so, watchful meh.
In the Pacific, Karina is now a hurricane, but well away from Mexico. Lowell looks to track well south of Hawai’i:
The West Pacific has a couple of storms well offshore, a new invest area might be an issue next week:
