Lala brush with Hawai’i, Atlantic uninteresting

Lala is a few hours away from the Big Island, likely to just brush the south coast as a tropical storm or minimal hurricane. Here’s the CPHC Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Lala (en Español: Mensajes Claves), hurricane warnings are up for the Big Island, elsewhere tropical storm warnings:

Satellite image showing tropical storms Lala and Hernan with projected paths, watch and warning indicators for the Central Pacific region.

Even if technically the surface winds don’t reach hurricane strength, higher elevations and exposed ridgelines will probably get hurricane winds since due to surface friction. At 1500 feet, winds in the eyewall can be 30% higher than at the surface! This graph (click to embiggen) shows the vertical wind profiles in hurricanes, from GPS dropsondes.

Graph illustrating mean wind speed profiles for all storms, comparing the eyewall (red line) and outer vortex (blue line) as a function of normalized wind speed.
A map showing the basic storm impacts for Tropical Cyclone LALA in the North Pacific Ocean, illustrating estimated economic damage and wind swath areas over the Hawaiian islands of Honolulu and Hilo, with color-coded damage levels.

Damage estimates have dropped a bit as the storm isn’t as organized or strong as forecast a couple days ago. if you’re on the islands follow the advice of local emergency managers and prepare for a stormy Saturday. Heavy rain, gusty winds, and high waves are all in the mix.

Satellite image showing the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook with areas marked for potential weather development, including INVEST AL92.

Elsewhere, the West Pacific has a couple of Invest areas, as does the Atlantic and East Pacific, but none are looking to spin up or be problems at this point.


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