Tropical Cyclones Watching the Atlantic blobs, Pacific still where the aciton is 24 Aug 202624 Aug 2026 Note: the NHC web page was broken as of 6:30am this morning, some of it seems working again as of 7am but it's still wonky. Looking at Disturbance #1 on…
Tropical Cyclones The blob goes red! 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 At the 8am update, NHC upped the odds for some kind of tropical cyclone formation in the Gulf to 80%. Here's the relavent text: Interests along the northern Gulf coast…
Doomwatch!… Watching the Gulf 19 Jul 202619 Jul 2026 Update: at 8am, odds boosted, and advisories likely. NHC has been slowly bumping up the probabilities of at least a tropical depression forming in the Gulf, now at 60% (double…
Tropical Cyclones Magic words appear for Florida, but still mostly looks like rain. 18 Jul 202618 Jul 2026 In the 8am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC added some "magic words" to the forecast: Interests along the Florida west coast and Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system…
Tropical Cyclones The Blob Shifts West 18 Jul 202618 Jul 2026 NHC's Yellow Blob of Doom (BOD) in the northwestern Gulf has shifted west with the guidance now showing the low headed that way rather than across Florida and into the…
Doomwatch!… Growing forecast consensus: TD9/Futureimelda will turn east 28 Sep 2025 As always, for the official word, check NHC's Key messages regarding Tropical Depression Nine (en Español: Mensajes Claves) for a nice summary. While Tropical Depression Nine hasn't yet become a tropical…
Tropical Cyclones Tropical Depression Nine (FutureImelda) Saturday Update (27 Sep) 27 Sep 202527 Sep 2025 As of mid-afternoon, TD9 is getting better organized as Hurricane Humerto lurks nearby ... Here's links to NHC's excellent summaries: Key messages regarding Tropical Depression Nine (en Español: Mensajes Claves). As…
Doomwatch!… Atlantic not as busy as it looks (4 Aug 2025) 4 Aug 20254 Aug 2025 Overnight the National Hurricane Center (NHC) started advisories on Tropical Storm Dexter. It is just a stretched out blob of clouds on IR: There are no "Key Messages" on Dexter,…
Administrative… Special page for Frogmore Metroplex Residents (and less fortunate neighboring areas in the Southeast) 2 Aug 20252 Aug 2025 I'm still debating what to do with the blog and commentary going forward, given the end of all of the weather related work that has been a big part of…
Doomwatch!… Brief tropics and Southeastern weather update 25 Jul 202525 Jul 2025 Weak tropical activity persists in the West Pacific, with two depressions and a tropical storm causing disproportionate impacts: click any image to embiggen. Most of the impact is from Co-May,…
