In the 8am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC added some “magic words” to the forecast:
Interests along the Florida west coast and Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several days.
As a reminder, NHC and the weather service use a very specific format and terminology in their bulletins that I call “magic words.” These take the form of “Interests <somewhere> should <do something>.” So if you are on the west coast of Florida or “big bend” area and panhandle, you should “monitor.” That means check the 6 hourly outlooks, published at 2am, 8am, 2pm, and 8pm. Note that you can safely skip the 2am update, no need to set your alarm! If the 8pm shows development is likely, NHC will start advisories at 11pm (with an alert going up on the web site most likely at 10pm saying they are going to start advisories at 11). They don’t like to throw curves (especially start advisories) overnight if they can help it for the obvious reasons and catch people off guard in the morning.
This is still most likely just a rain event with maybe some breezy weather on the Gulf coast. GFS shows most of the heavy rain staying offshore, ECM is wetter more inland.
For the sacred precincts of our beloved Frogmore Metroplex (Coastal GA and the Lowcountry of SC), this isn’t a threat in the foreseeable future. Maybe get some onshore flow and higher chances of rain later in the week.