Doomwatch!… Lee forecast still holding up; Morocco Earthquake 11 Sep 202312 Sep 2023 The track forecast for Hurricane Lee has been remarkably consistent for a storm that is doing such a sharp turn. As expected it slowed down a lot yesterday as it…
Doomwatch!… Lee update, Margot and the Invests 10 Sep 2023 Lee has dropped to a mid Category Two storm, may see some intensity fluctuations, but the important "big picture" track forecast remains about the same. Here's the obligatory link to…
Doomwatch!… Seriously, come back Monday 9 Sep 2023 Lee continues to move west pretty much on the forecast track. The 5 day forecast from NHC [Key Messages regarding Hurricane Lee (en Español: Mensajes Claves)] is now clearly showing the…
Doomwatch!… Can the forecast for a Cat 5 storm be boring? 8 Sep 20238 Sep 2023 Can the forecast for a category 5 hurricane be boring? Yes, if the 5am Friday (8 Sept) Hurricane Lee is the example. Lee has intensified to a legitimate if small…
Tropical Cyclones New tropical depression in East Atlantic 7 Sep 20237 Sep 2023 Tropical Depression 14 has formed in the far East Atlantic out of invest area AL96. It will likely become Tropical Storm (and later Hurricane) Margot in the next five days.…
Research!… Lee Update – why should it turn away from Florida? 7 Sep 20237 Sep 2023 This morning's (Thu. 7 Sept 2023) 5am forecast was pretty much the same as the previous forecasts. We'll take a look at why in a bit, but first lets look…
Tropical Cyclones Lee now a hurricane 6 Sep 2023 NHC upgraded Lee to a hurricane even though the evidence was a bit sketchy (link to discussion). Here are their Key Messages regarding Hurricane Lee (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Other than…
Doomwatch!… Tropics Update, 6 Sept 2023 6 Sep 2023 As expected the former invest area AL95 became Tropical Depression 13 and is now Tropical Storm Lee - by this afternoon it should be Hurricane Lee. Conditions are really favorable…
Tropical Cyclones NHC starts advisories on TD13 5 Sep 2023 The US National Hurricane Center has started advisories on Tropical Depression 13 (formerly invest area AL95). Here are their Key Messages regarding Tropical Depression Thirteen (link), and here is the…
Administrative… Why I don’t post more often 5 Sep 20239 Sep 2024 I often get messages asking why I don't post more often. Since during storms I tend to get more followers, I thought I'd do a post for newcomers to describe…
