Doomwatch!… Red Blob in the Atlantic 5 Oct 2025 TL;DR: NHC is watching Invest area AL95, a tropical wave that is starting to consolidate as it crosses the Atlantic. It may be a problem for the Leeward Islands (Antigua…
Doomwatch!… Erin Exiting, Invests, Frogmore area flood risk 22 Aug 2025 As the sun rises over Vinland (aka Newfoundland), Erin is just offshore and rapidly heading northeast, no longer entirely tropical in nature ... At this point the only remaining risk…
Doomwatch!… Erin swipes northern Caribbean 17 Aug 2025 Erin is due north of Puerto Rico this morning, with rain bands causing gusty winds and rain across both PR and the Virgin Islands ... click any image to see…
Doomwatch!… Erin and Gulf Update (Friday 15 August 2025) 15 Aug 202515 Aug 2025 TLDR: Erin still looks to skirt the northern Leeward Islands before curving north. There is a disturbance in the western Gulf of Whatever that should be making landfall today. click…
Doomwatch!… Erin tracks west (14 Aug 25) 14 Aug 202514 Aug 2025 Tropical storm Erin continues to track westward around a high pressure ridge. It hasn't started significant intensification yet, but should become a major hurricane (Category 3) over the next three…
Tropical Cyclones Tropical Storm Rafael forms near Jamaica 4 Nov 2024 Tropical Storm Rafael has formed just south of Jamaica. Here are links to NHC's Key Messages regarding Tropical Storm Rafael (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Watches and Warnings are up for Jamaica,…
Tropical Cyclones PTC18 Update (4 Nov 2024) 4 Nov 20244 Nov 2024 TL;DR: PTC18 should reach Jamaica as a tropical storm early Tuesday, hit Cuba as a hurricane during the day Wednesday, and be just west of the Florida Keys Thursday before…
Tropical Cyclones Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 forms in Caribbean 3 Nov 20243 Nov 2024 Invest AL97 is organized enough, and close enough to land, that NHC has started advisories on it as Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) 18. Key Messages regarding Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen (en…
Doomwatch!… Typhoon Kong-Rey hits Taiwan, Atlantic doomwatch continues (31 Oct 2024) 31 Oct 202431 Oct 2024 TL;DR: Kong-Rey is slamming Taiwan, strongest typhoon to hit the island in 30 years. Something seems to be brewing in the western Caribbean, but exactly what isn't clear. click any…
Tropical Cyclones Tropical Storm Ernesto in the Northern Caribbean 13 Aug 202413 Aug 2024 Tropical Storm Ernesto is over the French island (Department) of Guadeloupe at 5am this morning, where warnings are in effect across the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.…
