Tropical Cyclones Tropical Storm Ernesto in the Northern Caribbean 13 Aug 202413 Aug 2024 Tropical Storm Ernesto is over the French island (Department) of Guadeloupe at 5am this morning, where warnings are in effect across the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.…
Tropical Cyclones PTC5 now Tropical Storm Ernesto 12 Aug 202412 Aug 2024 At 5pm Monday NHC has decided that PTC Five meets the criteria for being a tropical system, and in addition has winds strong enough to be classified as a Tropical…
Tropical Cyclones PTC5 Monday Morning 12 Aug;Ogeechee flooding update 12 Aug 2024 Potential Tropical Cyclone Five has not gained significant organization overnight, although it is still forecast to become a tropical storm (will get the name Ernesto) before it crosses the Leeward…
Tropical Cyclones Invest AL98 is now PTC5 (5pm Sunday 11 August) 11 Aug 2024 NHC has started advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five (AL052024) in anticipation of it becoming a tropical depression, then tropical storm as it crosses the northern Caribbean ... click any…
Doomwatch!… Invest AL98 (Sunday 11 August 2024) 11 Aug 202411 Aug 2024 As prognosticated Friday, the tropical wave crossing the Atlantic continued to slowly evolve, and on Saturday had enough organization for the various meteorological centers to designate an invest area and…
Severe Weather… The ongoing impacts of Debby 10 Aug 202410 Aug 2024 As noted in the blog yesterday, all the rain that fell inland ultimately has to reach the sea. That means local creeks and rivers and seeing record water levels and…
Research!… Storms, statistics, and people 10 Aug 20249 Oct 2024 What follows is a more philosophical take on monitoring disasters and why what you read here is typically different from other places. Hazard analysis - be it for natural disasters…
Tropical Cyclones New angst in the Atlantic; ongoing flooding in Southeast (Fri 9 Aug 2024) 9 Aug 20249 Aug 2024 The National Hurricane Center is flagging a strong tropical wave in their Tropical Weather Outlook (link) today. It's about halfway across the Atlantic this morning, and in a couple of…
Tropical Cyclones Debby Morning Thursday (8 Aug) Update 8 Aug 20248 Aug 2024 The "center" of an increasingly asymmetric Debby made landfall this morning and is starting to move a bit faster. Here's the current IR satellite since it's still dark at 5:30am…
Tropical Cyclones Debby Update Wed. Evening (7 Aug 2024) 7 Aug 2024 Tropical Storm Debby is is trying to make landfall again, this time between Charleston and Myrtle Beach. But it's still not exactly moving fast ... The latest NHC bulletin has…
