NHC has started advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Five (AL052024) in anticipation of it becoming a tropical depression, then tropical storm as it crosses the northern Caribbean …
The impact swath based on the new forecast looks like this:
Expect watches for the Virgin Islands (both US and British) tonight or first thing in the morning, and Puerto Rico tomorrow latest.
PTC5 isn’t a tropical system yet – but it’s getting close enough to the Caribbean NHC doesn’t want anyone caught off guard, as conditions are favorable for development, and it should sweep across the leeward islands as a tropical storm.
If you like this kind of commentary you can subscribe to the emails (and/or donate to keep it going) at this link. You can also follow us on X/Twitter (@EnkiResearch) or Facebook if that’s your preferred social media sewer.