Tropical Cyclones Tropical Storm Rafael Update (Tue 5 Nov) 5 Nov 2024 Rafael is continuing to slowly organize, and is now near Jamaica as a tropical storm. Hurricane warnings are up for the Cayman Islands and Cuba, and tropical storm watches for…
Tropical Cyclones Tropical Storm Rafael forms near Jamaica 4 Nov 2024 Tropical Storm Rafael has formed just south of Jamaica. Here are links to NHC's Key Messages regarding Tropical Storm Rafael (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Watches and Warnings are up for Jamaica,…
Tropical Cyclones PTC18 Update (4 Nov 2024) 4 Nov 20244 Nov 2024 TL;DR: PTC18 should reach Jamaica as a tropical storm early Tuesday, hit Cuba as a hurricane during the day Wednesday, and be just west of the Florida Keys Thursday before…
Tropical Cyclones Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 forms in Caribbean 3 Nov 20243 Nov 2024 Invest AL97 is organized enough, and close enough to land, that NHC has started advisories on it as Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) 18. Key Messages regarding Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen (en…
Politics… Election day hurricane? probably a good idea to take advantage of early voting in the Southeast. 25 Oct 202425 Oct 2024 Long time followers are well aware that I don't get too animated about storms until they are at least an invest area, and don't advocate taking precipitous actions too far…
Tropical Cyclones Milton leaving the region (10 Oct 2024) 10 Oct 202410 Oct 2024 Hurricane Milton made landfall last night and has rapidly tracked across Florida and is already offshore as of 5am. There are still warnings up on the east coast of Florida/Georgia/South…
Tropical Cyclones Milton almost at landfall (evening update 9 Oct) 9 Oct 20249 Oct 2024 Milton is being sheared and entraining dry air, and continues to weaken. At this point anyone in Florida needs to be in shelters, too late to do anything. Still lots…
Tropical Cyclones Afternoon Milton Notes (Wed. 9 Oct 2024) 9 Oct 2024 Still nothing much to add to this morning's post. The tornado risk for south Florida is really kicking in, and there are warnings up mainly south of I-4. I wouldn't…
Tropical Cyclones Milton Landfall Tonight (9-10 October 2024) 9 Oct 20249 Oct 2024 Hurricane Milton remains a powerful category five storm, and is now rapidly accelerating towards Central Florida. Here are NHC's Key Messages regarding Hurricane Milton (en Español: Mensajes Claves), and current watch/warnings…
Tropical Cyclones Milton Afternoon Update (8 Oct 2024) 8 Oct 20248 Oct 2024 Milton underwent an eyewall replacement cycle today but is back to category five strength ... that said, the big picture, and the discussion on potential impacts on Florida, Georgia, and…