No hand-holding today …

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Swamped, so no hand holding. Unless you’re in China no tropical worries. Done.

Map showing the basic storm impacts of Typhoon SAUDEL, with projected paths and areas of potential damage in East Asia, including Japan and parts of China, categorized by wind impact levels.

Typhoon Saudel has crossed the Ryuku Islands, leaving mudslides, some damage, and a few injuries in its wake. Next up is China, and although it is decaying, it will likely cause more damage.

Satellite image showing the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook with highlighted areas of interest INVEST AL95 and INVEST AL96, indicating their respective development probabilities.

In the Atlantic, AL95 (the north blob) is about to be dropped from the NHC outlook. There is still a red blob of doom at 70% (AL96), but the window for development is only the next couple of days. Even GFS has backed off on the intensity, and both it and ECM show the system as a wave or very weak depression in five days, near Puerto Rico …

GFS 120-hour forecast map showing wind speed and surface pressure over the Atlantic, valid until August 31, 2026. The map features geographical outlines and a gradient of wind speed indicated by color.
Map displaying the ECM IFS 120-hour forecast for wind speed and surface pressure in the Atlantic region, valid for August 31, 2026.

East Pacific has Iselle and and Invest (EP96) that should spin up and annoy the fish. They have discontinued advisories on Moke and Julio. So no threats there either.

2 Comments

  1. You didn’t hold my hand and now I doomscrolled across the street without looking both ways… What have you done?

    Reply

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