Typhoon Matmo hits The Philippines, blob watch continues

Typhoon Matmo has hit The Philippines, complicating recovery efforts from Monday’s earthquake …

Map showing the projected path and impact zones of Typhoon Matmo, with indicated areas of wind intensity and estimated economic impacts.

For comparison, here is the earthquake impact zone. Most of the worse impacts from Matmo are far enough north to not be a problem, but there are still a lot of people living outside in makeshift shelters and any rain or wind gusts are problematic:

Map showing the earthquake impact zone in the Philippines with highlighted areas of ground motion severity and affected cities.

Matmo is expected to strengthen as it crosses the South China Sea and might cause upwards of $2 Billion in additional damage in China.

There are two weak storms in the Indian Ocean, neither causing significant impacts. IO01 has moved inland and is basically gone, IO02 should do a loop offshore and weaken before landfall.

Satellite image showing the Indian Ocean with highlighted areas indicating two weather systems, labeled 'ONE' and 'TWO'.

In the Americas, Imelda is no longer tropical. In the Atlantic there is a blob over Florida, but NHC has the odds at only 10% and I suspect that is generous. Lots of dry air, conditions aren’t great unless it gets out over the Gulf of Whatever. There is also a wave coming off of Africa in a few days, conditions out over the Atlantic may be better for it to spin up, but that’s 4-5 days from now.

Satellite image showing the Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC, indicating areas of potential tropical development in the Caribbean and Atlantic, including percentages of development risk.

Octave is still way offshore from Mexico, there is an invest area (EP99) close to the coast that needs watching as it is showing signs of development. While it should stay offshore, impacts are possible and wobbles closer are always possible.

Satellite image showing the tropical weather outlook, including Hurricane Octave and Invest EP99 near the coast of Mexico, with additional weather features in the Pacific Ocean.

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