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Month: November 2024

Tropical Cyclones

Still condition meh in the Atlantic; more rain for Philippines

10 Nov 202410 Nov 2024
Another brief update: the yellow blob of meh in the Atlantic is now an invest area, but still pretty much "meh": click any image to embiggen. And NHC has no…
Tropical Cyclones

Rafael shear, lineup in the Pacific

9 Nov 2024
Rafael is making waves in the central Gulf of Mexico, but is now only a tropical storm and should tear apart as it drifts to the southwest: The yellow blob…
Politics…

Rafael a cat 3, Yinxing leaves the Philippines, Savannah floods (again)

8 Nov 20248 Nov 2024
Rafael is a pretty impressive Category Three storm this morning, here in IR since the sun isn't up ... click to embiggen. The storm is expected to do a loop…
Tropical Cyclones

Rafael takes a turn to the West (7 Nov)

7 Nov 2024
As anticipated NHC has radically revised the track over the last 18 hours, and now shows Rafael taking a hard turn to the left away from the US Mainland ...…
Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Rafael, Typhoon Yinxing (Wed 6 Nov)

6 Nov 20246 Nov 2024
TL;DR: Rafael is now a hurricane and will make landfall today in western Cuba at near Category 3 intensity before brushing the Lower Keys with tropical storm conditions. NHC's latest…
Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Rafael Update (Tue 5 Nov)

5 Nov 2024
Rafael is continuing to slowly organize, and is now near Jamaica as a tropical storm. Hurricane warnings are up for the Cayman Islands and Cuba, and tropical storm watches for…
Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Rafael forms near Jamaica

4 Nov 2024
Tropical Storm Rafael has formed just south of Jamaica. Here are links to NHC's Key Messages regarding Tropical Storm Rafael (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Watches and Warnings are up for Jamaica,…
Tropical Cyclones

PTC18 Update (4 Nov 2024)

4 Nov 20244 Nov 2024
TL;DR: PTC18 should reach Jamaica as a tropical storm early Tuesday, hit Cuba as a hurricane during the day Wednesday, and be just west of the Florida Keys Thursday before…
Tropical Cyclones

Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 forms in Caribbean

3 Nov 20243 Nov 2024
Invest AL97 is organized enough, and close enough to land, that NHC has started advisories on it as Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) 18. Key Messages regarding Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen (en…
Research!…

Caribbean/Gulf storm this week; does anybody really know what time it is?

3 Nov 20243 Nov 2024
Magic words have appeared in the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook: "Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system." They also caution "tropical storm watches or…

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