Tropical Cyclones Oscar even grouchier! 19 Oct 2024 Can't do better than to quote the current forecast discussion from NHC: It is fair to say its been an unexpected day with regards to Oscar.That's actually a bit of…
Tropical Cyclones Oscar emerges from the trash can (Mid day tropical update 19 Oct) 19 Oct 202419 Oct 2024 This morning NHC had invest AL94 rated at only a generous 30%, with the environment being hostile and due to land interactions. However, during the last 8 hours the system…
Administrative Always hit save before posting 19 Oct 2024 It's a rule that isn't always followed. So the email version of the Nadine post went out with a bad typo calling it Helene, since I was working on a…
Tropical Cyclones Disturbance near Belize becomes Nadine (Sat 19 Oct 2024) 19 Oct 202419 Oct 2024 NHC classified the disturbance near Belize as a "potential tropical cyclone" last night, and this morning upgraded it to Tropical Storm Nadine. Here are NHC's latest Key Messages regarding Tropical…
Doomwatch!… Doomwatch, 17 October 2024 17 Oct 202417 Oct 2024 Those frantically watching NHC's Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) can be less frantic this morning, as the orange blob faded to yellow ... click any image to embiggen. The one causing…
Doomwatch!… Doomwatch, 15 Oct 2024 15 Oct 2024 Not really a lot to add to yesterday's post about invest area AL94, NHC now has it at a 60% chance of becoming at least a tropical depression, and there…
Politics… Invest in Atlantic, Columbus Day, Election (Notes for 14 October 2024) 14 Oct 2024 For a region battered by two major storms in just a few weeks, an invest area with a blob of doom that looks like this is unwelcome: Throw in a…
Doomwatch!… Some closing advice on storm watching and scare mongering 11 Oct 202411 Oct 2024 I have been stunned at the explosion of fake graphics and viral false rumors about hurricanes this year, especially during Milton. This is a truly disturbing trend that is adding…
Tropical Cyclones Milton leaving the region (10 Oct 2024) 10 Oct 202410 Oct 2024 Hurricane Milton made landfall last night and has rapidly tracked across Florida and is already offshore as of 5am. There are still warnings up on the east coast of Florida/Georgia/South…
Tropical Cyclones Milton almost at landfall (evening update 9 Oct) 9 Oct 20249 Oct 2024 Milton is being sheared and entraining dry air, and continues to weaken. At this point anyone in Florida needs to be in shelters, too late to do anything. Still lots…