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Month: October 2024

Tropical Cyclones

Oscar even grouchier!

19 Oct 2024
Can't do better than to quote the current forecast discussion from NHC: It is fair to say its been an unexpected day with regards to Oscar.That's actually a bit of…
Tropical Cyclones

Oscar emerges from the trash can (Mid day tropical update 19 Oct)

19 Oct 202419 Oct 2024
This morning NHC had invest AL94 rated at only a generous 30%, with the environment being hostile and due to land interactions. However, during the last 8 hours the system…
Administrative

Always hit save before posting

19 Oct 2024
It's a rule that isn't always followed. So the email version of the Nadine post went out with a bad typo calling it Helene, since I was working on a…
Tropical Cyclones

Disturbance near Belize becomes Nadine (Sat 19 Oct 2024)

19 Oct 202419 Oct 2024
NHC classified the disturbance near Belize as a "potential tropical cyclone" last night, and this morning upgraded it to Tropical Storm Nadine. Here are NHC's latest Key Messages regarding Tropical…
Doomwatch!…

Doomwatch, 17 October 2024

17 Oct 202417 Oct 2024
Those frantically watching NHC's Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) can be less frantic this morning, as the orange blob faded to yellow ... click any image to embiggen. The one causing…
Doomwatch!…

Doomwatch, 15 Oct 2024

15 Oct 2024
Not really a lot to add to yesterday's post about invest area AL94, NHC now has it at a 60% chance of becoming at least a tropical depression, and there…
Politics…

Invest in Atlantic, Columbus Day, Election (Notes for 14 October 2024)

14 Oct 2024
For a region battered by two major storms in just a few weeks, an invest area with a blob of doom that looks like this is unwelcome: Throw in a…
Doomwatch!…

Some closing advice on storm watching and scare mongering

11 Oct 202411 Oct 2024
I have been stunned at the explosion of fake graphics and viral false rumors about hurricanes this year, especially during Milton. This is a truly disturbing trend that is adding…
Tropical Cyclones

Milton leaving the region (10 Oct 2024)

10 Oct 202410 Oct 2024
Hurricane Milton made landfall last night and has rapidly tracked across Florida and is already offshore as of 5am. There are still warnings up on the east coast of Florida/Georgia/South…
Tropical Cyclones

Milton almost at landfall (evening update 9 Oct)

9 Oct 20249 Oct 2024
Milton is being sheared and entraining dry air, and continues to weaken. At this point anyone in Florida needs to be in shelters, too late to do anything. Still lots…

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