This morning NHC had invest AL94 rated at only a generous 30%, with the environment being hostile and due to land interactions. However, during the last 8 hours the system got organized and NHC decided it was organized enough to skip over a few steps and go straight to tropical storm: Key Messages regarding Tropical Storm Oscar (en Español: Mensajes Claves), and the updated Key Messages regarding Tropical Storm Nadine (en Español: Mensajes Claves):
Oscar doesn’t look to get much stronger – it was a surprise to develop at all – and is a small storm, mostly a rain and some gusty coastal winds. The track stalls over Eastern Cuba (and GITMO), then takes off to the northeast as it gets caught up in one of the fall systems now pushing through the region. So shouldn’t bother anybody not already in a warning area.
It’s been a weird season so far, and NHC has had a couple of storms spin up on them unexpectedly like this. It happens. Sadly, those who point to every cloud in the Atlantic and scream “watch this” will claim they saw it when nobody else did (so click and follow and buy stuff from our advertisers).
Thank you for the thorough and entertaining reports.