TL;DR: one of the three disturbances in the Atlantic might become a depression later in the week (probably be a fish storm if it does). Pacific is busy, with Hawai’i in the potential track of an invest area, and a tropical storm headed to Japan.
The Tropical Weather Outlook has three blobs but only one is of much interest. Disturbance #2 is the orange blob on the NHC maps as well as the Enki satellite composite above. It has the potential to develop later this week. At the moment no dedicated model tracking, but for what it’s worth (virtually nothing) GFS shows a compact system staying just north of the leeward islands before turning towards Bermuda, ECM is similar. Perhaps more noteworthy is a strong non-tropical system forming inland over New England and impacting the Canadian Maritime provinces next weekend. We’ll see what happens with that.
Both sides of the Pacific are active, although at present the only named storms are off of Asia. Of most interest to ‘Muricans is the potential for a storm to impact Hawai’i. Invest area CP93 is expected to spin up soon. GFS shows in passing close to Hawai’i as a tropical storm, other models track across the Islands.
No “magic words” yet in the Outlook, but expect them shortly so those in the Islands should check the NHC/CPHC page later in your day.
The West Pacific is criss-crossed by weak storms this morning (evening Asia time), now that Dolphin has made landfall in China causing significant disruptions and damage. Japan is looking at a disruptions (but probably not a lot of damage) from Tropical Storm Chan-Hom. Chan-Hom is a broad and disorganized system, but with gusty winds and rain will still be disruptive over a wide area. The other storms (Peilou and TD 15W) aren’t likely to be problems.
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