Latest from NHC is in their Key Messages regarding Hurricane Idalia (en Español: Mensajes Claves) – landfall track shifted about 20 miles west for landfall, but still curves over Savannah and Charleston. The bottom line is that Idalia is forecast to be a very dangerous Category Three storm when in makes landfall in Florida – if you are in that area you should be ready by now, and evacuate immediately if in a low-lying area near the coast. Hurricane force winds will likely persist to at least the Georgia border and and the Valdosta area, but not likely as far north as Jesup/Fort Stewart or the the Savannah area, where tropical storm conditions are still expected. The Brunswick area will probably get strong tropical storm conditions. NHC has posted a hurricane watch for the Georgia coast, since hurricane force winds are possible, but most will remain likely offshore. Here’s the forecast impact swath based on the 5pm advisory …
In short, little substantively changed since this morning in terms of potential impacts. Next post from Enki tomorrow between 6 and 7am, when we will be just a few hours from landfall, and a much better picture as to the track and how strong Idalia is likely to be over coastal Georgia/South Carolina.
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All y’all are very helpful especially when it comes to giving us enough information to prepare. Hopefully they’ll suspend mail delivery to keep our mailmen and women safe.