It’s looking bad for central Mississippi and across Alabama today. Here is the NOAA Storm Prediction Center’s latest (AM Saturday) hazard forecast:
There are watches and warnings up already – expect these to move eastward over the day:
While the radar doesn’t look too bad at the moment …
there is a lot of convection, here’s the lighting strikes over the last 15 minutes:
If you’re in the high risk zone you need to have a plan and a weather radio to get warnings. The setup is for a significant tornado outbreak, with some long-lived long-track intense storms. Will be watching to see what develops.
The storm will progress to the east tonight, and be crossing Coastal Georgia and South Carolina (the picturesque Frogmore Metroplex) tomorrow morning. By then the storm should have lost a lot of its energy, and the tornado risk drops significantly as you approach the coast. Here is the forecast reflectivity for tomorrow morning at 8am, as the system approaches the coast:
Finally, the forecast summary from the Charleston (40 miles north of Frogmore) Weather Service Office. The models show the line breaking up as it approaches the cost, as is typical for these systems, but as noted below we won’t know the timing until later.
For anyone panicking about the big shindig Monday, don’t, this will all be gone and it looks like a nice cool morning as you piously make you way to Mass.
Or whatever else it is you are doing 😛 .