The blob has made NHC nervous enough to start advisories, probably because winds/organization are enough to warrant concern about folks getting caught off guard. Here’s the latest IR and visual satellite loops …


And here is a preliminary track data based on GFS (note the official track will come out at 5pm …

This is likely to be a “hybrid” type event, more like a nor’easter than a tropical storm or hurricane. But if you are in the warned areas follow the advice of local emergency management. I’ll post the warning areas when they are up.
Update: advisory is up with watches and warnings for the SC/NC coast … (link to maps/discussion).

I wanted to thank you for all you do to keep us warned, informed but still sane during these crazy weather periods. I subscribed to your email and am loving it. Thanks.