TLDR: there is an area of disturbed weather off the coast of the Southeastern US. NHC has it tagged with a 10% chance of doing something. It will probably move inland without development.
The long version: add “don’t worry about it” to the above 😛 … no magic words in the Tropical Weather Outlook. A weak low may form and drift inland over Jacksonville, causing rain along the Georgia coast, but that should be it.
Elsewhere, neither NHC or JTWC are watching anything – nothing interesting in the tropics anywhere in the world, creepy quiet. The remains of Beryl are over Canada now, will try to put together a wrap-up on that one in a few days.
It looks as if the main story from Beryl is going to be the impact on providing power to residents and businesses. The storm itself was not bad — 4-5 hours of heavy rain and winds in the 60-70 mph range for most of the Houston area. But the worst of this storm happened to hit in areas with many large trees around power infrastructure, so the downed trees and branches have caused outsized power outages relative to the strength of the storm. Moreover, I suspect that the substantial damage to the power infrastructure caused by a relatively weak storm caught the power companies off guard and they have been scrambling ever since Monday morning to catch up. Seventy-two hours after the storm cleared the Houston area, there are still over a million residents without power. Never a dull day on the Gulf Coast.
Thanks for the update. Trees are an interesting problem in impact modeling – you have to model the health of the trees, as well as the state of the soils. One of the first storms I studied was Hurricane Hugo (1989), a lot more trees fell than expected in part due to the soils being saturated and many trees just blew over rather than limbs or tops breaking.
This falls exactly in my catch-all “if nothing breaks that shouldn’t” category. That said, I don’t think there is an excuse for outages this long from this class of storm.