Doomwatch!… Blob-o-rama 16 Sep 2025 TL;DR: blobs in the Atlantic are no threat at the moment, the storm likely to spin up in the next 24 hours should stay away from everybody. East Pacific storms…
Doomwatch!… Quick review for Monday 15 Sep 2025 TL;DR: still nothing to worry about it. click any image to embiggen. NHC has the blob in the Atlantic up to 80% chance of spinning up. The global models are…
Uncategorized ¡Mario está Vivo! 14 Sep 2025 Yes, like a bad character in a "good" telenovela, Mario has returned from the dead! According to NHC: There was some question as to if this system was fully Mario,…
Doomwatch! Yawn. 14 Sep 202514 Sep 2025 TL;DR: why are you bothering to read his? If you don't have to work, go to Church, sleep in, or otherwise enjoy the day. For the US, almost no weather…
Geophysics… Mario here and gone, still quiet (other than a M7.5 earthquake). 13 Sep 2025 There are currently no active storms in any of the basins! The depression off the coast of Mexico briefly became Tropical Storm Mario before becoming "Remnants of Mario." It may…
Tropical Cyclones Monitoring Mexico, Atlantic, Indian Ocean 12 Sep 202512 Sep 2025 TL;DR: Tropical Depression (13E) did form near Mexico, but remains weak/disorganized and hard to recognize on the satellite images. Blob in Atlantic is now at 40% but remains fishy. click…
Tropical Cyclones Blob of doom returns in Atlantic 11 Sep 2025 A tropical wave coming off of Africa has caught the eyes of the forecasters at the National Hurricane Center, much to the relief of the clickbait community (those cases of…
Administrative… Tropics update and New Indian Ocean graphics 10 Sep 2025 Not a lot to say today, I'm busy with the ongoing Middle East crisis and of course the ongoing Ukraine situation, but in the natural disaster world, especially tropical cyclones,…
Tropical Cyclones… High Tides and tropics update 9 Sep 20259 Sep 2025 As noted yesterday, the high astronomical tides (full moon plus fall equinox) plus onshore winds means shallow coastal flooding in the usual spots that flood when tides run one to…
Tropical Cyclones… Spring Tides in Fall; Tropics update 8 Sep 2025 Since the full moon closest to the fall equinox was yesterday, tides are running high. These are called Spring Tides (which have nothing to do with the season), and the…