Typhoon Ragasa has become a bit weaker today, but the track shifted north from yesterday, and it is on track to make landfall in China just south of Hong Kong today. Guangdong province is on high alert as the heavily populated region will take a direct hit from the still powerful storm:
On this track there will be 136 million people within the tropical storm force wind swath, and impacts are likely be close to $30 Billion USD.
The Philippines saw significant impacts from Ragasa, with the smaller islands to the north devastated, and impacts from the outer bands of the storm, with heavy rains and landslides, on Luzon. Unfortunately, The Philippines are in store for another system, as an invest area (WP92) is likely to spin up into a new storm and traverse the nation in a few days:
In the East Pacific, Tropical Storm Narda should stay offshore as it becomes a hurricane later today:
The Atlantic is increasingly busy, although so far mostly for fish. Gabrielle bypassed Bermuda, mostly being a wave maker, but is now headed back across the ocean and headed for the Azores.
Here are NHC’s Key messages regarding Hurricane Gabrielle (en Español: Mensajes Claves). But most eyes are on the two systems coming behind Gabrielle. They are currently just disturbances, but should be upgraded to invest areas today (for what those terms mean read this) …
NHC expects a depression to form from the eastward (#1) system tonight. The latest GFS run shows some complex interactions of these two systems as they encounter a front that should pass off the US East coast, whereas the ECM keeps them separate. Either way, that front should help to steer either or both away from the mainland. There are no “magic words” in NHC’s outlook, but the northern Caribbean and Bahamas should expect some rain and gusty winds from #2. But at this point, still nothing for anybody to be too worked up over as long as you have a plan.
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