A tropical wave coming off of Africa has caught the eyes of the forecasters at the National Hurricane Center, much to the relief of the clickbait community (those cases of energy drinks don’t pay for themselves!).
NHC has this tagged at a 30% chance of spinning up in the next seven days. There isn’t anything for the models to lock on to yet, so no tracks (in other words it’s just a disturbance, not an invest yet). GFS has been intermittently showing something spinning up, and run-to-run consistency is improving (three of last four show something forming in a week). For what it’s worth (not much at this point) they show a hurricane spinning up, but curving out into the mid Atlantic as a fish storm.
We should have a new storm off the coast of Mexico today … hopefully it will stay offshore but if you are on the west coast of Mexico or Baja you should be watching:
Kiko has dissipated north of Hawai’i. The West Pacific is weirdly quiet, although the Indian Ocean has some activity. Tropical Storm Blossom has formed out of “Three” just south of the Equator but will likely be short lived.
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