Atlantic is blob free! Kiko trending away from hawaii, Tapah to hit Guangdong

As Hurricane Kiko continues to trend north away from Hawai’i, dry air over the Atlantic has choked out the hopes and dreams of the tropical clickbait community (although they are creative writers of fiction and I’m sure will come up with something!). Tropical Storm Tapah has formed in the South China Sea. Here’s the details …

Although Kiko is still surprisingly strong, it is fortunately still forecast to stay just north of the Islands. Here are CPHC’s Key messages regarding Hurricane Kiko.

Satellite image showing Hurricane Kiko's projected path near Hawai'i, with key warning labels and timing indicators.
click any image to embiggen.

On this track, the wind and rain should stay offshore. There are some coastal flood and rip current statements in effect along the eastward facing shores as of this morning as the impressive looking Kiko lurks nearby …

Map showing the Hawaiian Islands with a depiction of Hurricane Kiko to the northeast, including current NWS watches and warnings.

Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Tapah has formed in the South China Sea. It is expected to be almost Typhoon strength when it moves ashore south of Hong Kong, and could cause upwards of $200 Million in impacts. It is in a somewhat favorable environment, and could become a typhoon shortly before landfall.

Map showing the projected path and impact zones of Tropical Storm Tapah, highlighting estimated economic impacts and wind gust categories in the South China Sea.

Finally, the dry are discussed yesterday really choked off any potential for convection and organization of the disturbance NHC previously had at 80%. They rapidly dropped the odds yesterday and finally last night gave up – no blobs this morning:

Satellite image showing the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook for the eastern Pacific and Atlantic regions, including the location of an investment area labeled 'INVEST' on September 7, 2025.

So beware the fact that on social media there will be maps floating around from the last few days showing 80% storm formation chances and tracks all over the region. Especially for invests and disturbances, check the date and time on the map and if it’s over 24 hours old beware because chances are it’s no longer valid one way or the other!


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