Typhoon Danas landfall on Taiwan; Chantal lands in South Carolina

There are two landfalls in progress this morning. Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall on the upper South Carolina coast this morning. Typhoon Danas will make landfall later this afternoon US time (evening in China). Of the two, Chantal isn’t likely to cause a lot of damage, Danas has to potential to cause significant impacts.

Here is Chantal as the sun rises over the east coast of the US, with the warning are highlighed in yellow:

Satellite image showing Tropical Storm Chantal approaching the South Carolina coast with weather warnings and forecasts indicated.
click any image to embiggen.

For the official forecast, NHC’s Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Chantal (en Español: Mensajes Claves) is the best overview. Bottom line is that despite the last minute increase in NHC’s peak intensity estimate to 50 knots (58mph) any tropical storm winds will be confined to the immediate coast, and it is unlikely anyone will see sustained winds that high (gusts in thunderstorms might get that high, but we get those on summer thunderstorms all the time). The impact numbers are around $5 Million, a lot of that is due to disruptions from the fact the holiday weekend has been interrupted for the Myrtle Beach area.

Map showing the forecast track and impact areas of Tropical Storm Chantal along the South Carolina coast, highlighting warning zones in yellow.

The most likely source of problems with Chantal is isolated flash flooding; here is the radar view at just before 7am; you can see the highly asymmetric rain pattern, almost all of the impacts of the storm were on the north side. Fortunately catastrophic flooding like was just seen in Texas is unlikely.

Radar image showing precipitation patterns over the southeastern United States, with Tropical Storm Chantal indicated near the upper South Carolina coast, highlighting areas of heavy rainfall.

On the other side of the world, Typhoon Danas is about to make landfall on the densely populated western side of Taiwan. Here is the view from Himawari 9 as the sun is setting over the storm (at the same time the sun was rising over Chantal!):

Satellite view of Typhoon Danas approaching the western side of Taiwan, displaying a well-defined eye and spiral cloud bands.

Danas is a much stronger and better organized storm, at least a category 1 hurricane on our Saffir-Simpson scale. The US Joint Typhoon Warning Center has it about 20% stronger than the other agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and the China Meteorological Administration(CMA). Here is the impact estimate based on the JTWC forecast:

Map showing the projected impact area and forecast track of Typhoon Danas on the western side of Taiwan, including estimated economic impacts and population at risk.

That could cause $5 Billion in impacts if the higher estimate holds; otherwise, impacts should “only” be in the $1-$2 Billion range. Here is a radar composite from CMA, notice the much tighter pattern and eye compared to Chantal:

Radar composite image showing Typhoon Danas near Taiwan, displaying heavy rainfall and storm patterns, with a color scale indicating precipitation intensity.

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