Alvin fades, watching lake BOWSONO

Tropical Storm Alvin! is already fading, as it encounters wind shear and cooler waters. Here’s the TAOS(tm) TC impact estimate; unless there is damage from flash flooding (always possible in the mountainous terrain) impacts should be minimal as it brushes the tip of Baja early next week.

Map showing the forecast track and impact estimate for Tropical Storm Alvin, with areas of potential wind effects and economic impact outlined in varying colors.
click any image to embiggen.

Elsewhere, things are quiet, although the global models are showing something brewing up in the fetid waters of Lake Bowsono (Gulf of Mexico/America), with a hurricane forming the second week of June that has tropical fanbois excited. The GFS map for Tuesday June 10th in the latest run certainly looks dire …

Weather map showing projected wind patterns and precipitation for the southeastern United States related to Tropical Storm Alvin and potential future weather developments.
ZOMG! Check your toilet paper supply!

But I again remind everyone that forecasts over 7 days for tropical cyclones (hurricanes) are pretty suspect, especially for formation. There is a reason the National Hurricane Center outlook only goes out a week.That said, hurricane season officially begins Sunday, so it’s a good time to check your plans and supplies.


Political note: this renaming thing is ridiculous, grade-school playground level crap. Yes, some historical names carry with them negative connotations, but, to take one example, there was a reason many southern bases were named after Confederates. The early efforts were at least in part to try to heal the nation after a bitter Civil War. Had the Union undertaken the kind of vindictive persecution many on the progressive side of the tribal coin would advocate, the US never would have recovered, and would likely have remained a divided backwater rather than grow in to a global power as it did in World War I. Of course there were down sides to that – but no course of action is free of harm. Both aspects should be taught in full, and our complex history both good and bad acknowledged.

Likewise, renaming the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America is childish narcissism. Worse, for Republicans to do it conclusively shows that the modern GOP is no longer conservative – it’s something I guess we have to call MAGA. A party that used to stand for fiscal responsibility is blowing tens if not hundreds of millions of dollars on this, and imposing a significant burden on businesses. As bad and anti-conservative, it is dishonoring history and tradition – it’s been called the Gulf of Mexico going back to Aztec times.

So to avoid angering the MAGA crowd, or implying I support anything to do with the progressive side of the tribal coin, I hereby declare the fetid waters south of New Orleans to henceforth be named Lake BOWSONO – Lake Body Of Water South Of New Orleans. It really pisses me off to have to waste time on this. A pox on both your houses.

21 Comments

  1. Oddly, naming that body Mexico predates the country of the name name by a century or two. Then again, one could argue that all the countries on this continent are American. MUSGA lacks the ring of MAGA, though.

    1. As I understand it the name of the Gulf goes back to the late 1500’s (it’s on a 1592 map), the name Mexico is pre-Columbian.

  2. Indeed. You always rise above the nonsense and this was no exception. Cheers, Chuck. And thank you.

  3. I am with you. Thanks for standing up for truth. This is just “one” of the most adverse and ridiculous changes that have occurred since January 20th this year.

  4. Well said again. But it was the progressives who started the name changing game. Trump did well to give Bragg and Benning back their names, and should’ve left it at that.

  5. I come on your site for storm information. I can get political commentary from MANY other sites. It was very refreshing NOT to have to hear commentary!

    1. Unfortunately in this case it’s unavoidable, since if if you use the historical name you’re pegged as anti-Trump, if you use the new name pro-MAGA. So those of us who think both “sides” are bonkers are stuck.

    1. As I understand it there were several “waves” of Confederate memorials and namings. There was one after Reconstruction, another around World War I, and another in the 1950’s. Some names (like Camp/Fort Gordon) were used at different times/places – there was a Camp/Fort Gordon for World War I training, it was disbanded but returned in a different part of the state during the World War II buildup. So each wave had various factors behind them – history is complicated. Like the War itself, race, slavery, economics, political power, states rights vs. strong central government, all interwoven.

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