Just quick notes this morning since still in reduced operations while waiting for network repairs. Residents of the SEUS trying to recover from Helene are anxious about the yellow 40% blob in the Gulf. For now neither the US nor European Centre models or overly enthusiastic about it, although depending on where the moisture goes it could bring some unwelcome rain to damaged areas. For the moment though it looks to stay weak, disorganized, and well south in the Gulf, perhaps crossing Central Florida as a subtropical system. Here’s the ECM forecast for early vector week …
Other stuff in the Atlantic are pelagic storms not of interest to land dwellers at the moment.
The impacts of Helene are of course big news in the US, but Acapulco was devastated by Hurricane John this weekend as well. Like Helene, the worst impacts have been from catastrophic flooding from torrential rains rather than the usual wind and storm surge.
Watching a major typhoon is just south of Taiwan …
and of course storms of a different kind brewing in the Middle East and Europe. Hopefully more on all of this later this week. I have a longer article in the works explaining the relationship between wind and damage, and how to read my impact maps, since trolls aside it seems some folks aren’t clear on what kinds of impacts are associated with various conditions.
Good morning & thank you for the update
Thank you for all of this. You’re the most informative place around here giving the straight info without all the damn panic hype.
Thank you for keeping us all informed and for all of your hard work that goes in to your posts! It is greatly appreciated by so many!!
I finally learned not to stress about TWC forecast after I found you. Thank you!
We left Wednesday at 7 AM, before Helene got here last week. She poured on us at Bucee’s in Calhoun, followed us to Prizer Point Kentucky, then a few days later to Peoria, Illinois, then back to Kentucky in Louisville.
Driving home today from Louisville today we noticed that trees down north of Macon were pushed from the East to the West but the 1000s of trees down on I-16 from Mile Marker 58-98 on I-16 were all west to east. Anyone wondering why they are clearing trees on the interstates would certainly understand looking at those 40 miles. I greatly enjoy your postings.