This weekend the US National Hurricane Center has had a disturbance marked on the Atlantic map as having formation potential in the next week, presently (Monday AM) with a 50% chance of formation. TLDR: don’t worry about it, check back Wednesday to see what’s going on. Longer version follows …
The global models are mixed on this one. The European Centre’s medium range model has fairly consistently shown something spinning up and curving off the US Southeast coast …
But the GFS model, when it shows anything at all, shows a weak system traversing the Greater Antilles (Hispaniola, Cuba) and ending up in the Gulf. From there it spins up into a storm or doesn’t depending on which run you look at. The latest run (06z) shows nothing but a weak low over the Mississippi/Louisiana coast (and a strong fish storm hurricane in the East Pacific, lower left corner) …
So, nothing to really get excited about at this point. As the disturbance moves west we’ll get a better picture, but until then deal with your normal summer Monday (yuck).
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Love the cat & the coffee picture. And as always, thank you for the update.
Thank you Enki
Enki you are the best.
Thanks so much!