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Month: October 2023

Tropical Cyclones

Pilar update (31 October)

31 Oct 2023
Fortunately it looks like the forecasts are holding up, and the core of tropical storm Pilar (EP192023) is staying offshore and not becoming a hurricane. Here's the TAOS/TC impact swath…
Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Pilar (30 Oct 2023)

30 Oct 202330 Oct 2023
As expected Tropical Depression Nineteen-E, off the Pacific Coast of Central America, has intensified enough to become Tropical Storm Pilar. The short version is that it is expected to stay…
Tropical Cyclones

Watching Central America (Sun 29 October)

29 Oct 2023
There is a strengthening system just off the coast of Central America that the US National Hurricane Center has started tracking. Tropical Depression Nineteen (EP192023) formed yesterday, and is currently…
Tropical Cyclones

Tropics Update: Otis explosive amplification, Hamoon landfall

25 Oct 202325 Oct 2023
While the world's attention is focused on the Middle East, there have been several tropical cyclone landfalls. As noted yesterday, Cyclone Hamoon made landfall near the border of Bangladesh and…
Tropical Cyclones

Potential humanitarian disaster in Bay of Bengal

24 Oct 2023
Cyclone Hamoon (IO062023) has intensified much more rapidly than forecast and is now only a few hours from landfall on the Bangladeshi coast. While not an especially strong storm, the…
Foreign Policy…

Remembering Beirut,Lots of storms (23 October 2023)

23 Oct 202323 Oct 2023
First, today is the 40th Anniversary of the bombing of the Marine Barracks in Beirut, killing 241 US servicemen (link to Marine Times article). It is a part of the…
Tropical Cyclones

Tropical activity, 21 October 2023

21 Oct 2023
Suddenly lots to discuss, starting with Hurricane Tammy. Tammy is sweeping through the Leeward Islands this morning, and with the somewhat stronger winds and somewhat westerly shift in track, may…
Doomwatch!…

Some thoughts on the latest TGS podcast

20 Oct 202323 Oct 2023
In general I don't care for podcasts - it's just not how I absorb information. I know it's how a lot of people these days get news and opinions, so…
Tropical Cyclones

Tammy a bigger threat to islands

20 Oct 202320 Oct 2023
Tropical Storm Tammy (AL202023) is strengthening a bit faster than forecast, and is now predicted to be a hurricane as it passes over the Lesser Antillies this weekend. Here are…
Foreign Policy…

Not so simple

19 Oct 2023
Political leaders and the infotainment industry that pretends to try to inform the American public loves simple narratives. Us vs them, good vs. evil, that's the ticket to success. There's…

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