No comfort to give you …

As the sun rises this morning, the approaching cold front is clearly visible to the west along with the plumes of smoke from the still out of control fires in SE Georgia …

Scrooge famously asked Jacob Marley’s ghost to “speak comfort to me!” when told of his possible fate. Jacob responded “I have none to give.” That unfortunately looks like the rain story for today. As NWS Charleston said in their morning forecast discussion:

While any rainfall will be beneficial, this system is not
expected to provide significant relief from ongoing drought
conditions. Recent model trends indicate slightly lower rainfall
totals, with most areas receiving between 0.10 and 0.25 inches.
A few inland locations could see up to around 0.50 inches,
particularly where the front slows and convection becomes more
concentrated. However, given the isolated to scattered nature of
convection, some areas could receive no measurable rainfall.

Here is what the 72 hour precipitation total forecast looks like from GFS …

If this holds at least some areas near the fires might get a bit more rain than points north, and the higher humidity and any precip at all will be helpful in controlling the fires, but this isn’t going to do much for out drought.

As a side note, we did get a couple of brief showers develop yesterday along the sea breeze front, but hardly enough to matter even where rain did reach the surface …

It looks like substantive rain won’t be on the way for at least another week.

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