The short version is that Imelda and Humberto (still Cat 4) are both moving away from the Bahamas and US mainland, only Bermuda is at risk for direct impacts. Here’s links to NHC’s summaries: Key messages regarding Hurricane Humberto (en Español: Mensajes Claves), and Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Imelda (en Español: Mensajes Claves). Here’s the track forecast on top of this morning’s IR satellite view:
Although Imelda continues to slowly organize and should become a hurricane, it is moving northward and should start the abrupt turn to the east tonight or tomorrow. Here’s the model runs this morning for both storms:
Again, Bermuda will get hit by both storms to one degree or another so is in for a stormy week. The US coast will mostly get waves, although a jet of moisture from Imelda is hovering near the coast and the Frogmore Region (GA/SC coasts) and may cause rain Mon/Tue. It will be breezy the next couple of days, but nothing hazardous, and that’s about it. All over by Wednesday (with cooler/drier air finally reaching the coast so I can resume outdoor Tai Chi!).
Here’s the watches and warnings as of 6am, the green area in Florida is a wind advisory, the rest beach advisories for high surf and rip currents. The light blue/cyan offshore are small craft advisories.
Nothing else in the Atlantic, a typhoon hit Vietnam during our angst that I was watching but I’m sorry I didn’t mention, Bualoi, which has cause considerabled damage and loss of life (22 confirmed).
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Chuck – Checking Windy this am and saw something spinning mid Gulf of Whatever. Anything to it?
I don’t like their streamline maps, tends to exaggerate things. TAFB says:
A weak surface trough over the central Gulf waters continues to
produce some shallow convection. The pressure gradient between
this feature and higher pressures to the north result in moderate
NE winds and seas of 4-6 ft from 24N to 28N and between 88W and
94W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, the weak surface trough in the central Gulf will drift
southwestward over the next couple of days and gradually dissipate.
Thanks again for always doing such a fantastic job tracking the events with wisdom and common sense …have a blessed day !