TL;DR: Gabrielle still looks to only brush Bermuda with minimal impacts. Typhoon Ragasa will pass near Hong Kong/Macao, causing major impacts.

NHC has started issuing Key messages regarding Tropical Storm Gabrielle (en Español: Mensajes Claves).

The forecast is pretty consistent taking the storm far enough east of Bermuda that the only potential impacts are some rain and gusty winds, along with waves/rip currents.

Gabrielle will also cause rip currents and waves along the US East Coast in a few days. No rip current advosiries up for the Frogmore Metroplex yet, but expect them later today/tomorrow.

There are two typhoons in the West Pacific. Neoguri is a fish storm, but Ragasa is a rapidly strengthening system that will probably become a Supertyphoon (Saffir-Simpson Cat 4 or greater) soon. It is expected to split the difference between the northern coast of The Philippines and south coast of Taiwan before making landfall somewhere on the southeast coast of China.

The JTWC track has shifted a bit south and weaker than yesterday’s somewhat apocalyptic forecast, impacts now “only” estimated at $8 to $10 Billion USD as the core of the storm now expected to pass south of the Hong Kong/Macao conglomeration. That’s still a lot of damage with 141 million people within the potential impact swath, and a northward wobble would be Bad.
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