TL;DR: Typhoon Kaijiki is making landfall in Vietnam, stronger than forecast with impacts likely over $1 Billion in the country. Elsewhere storms only of interest to fish (and fish related activities).

Typhoon Kaijiki is causing a larger impact to Vietnam than expected for two reasons. First, it has held intensity (90 knots, 170 kph) rather than weakening as the Joint Typhoon Warning Center originally forecast, and second the track shifted a bit further north, causing the storm surge to be higher, possibly reaching 2.5 to 3 meters in some areas. Combined with heavy rain this is the worst storm to hit the country in 30 years. Economic impacts should be well over $1 Billion USD, with over 14 Million people in the impact swath. To put this in context, given the relative size of economies, infrastructure, etc. this is similar in impact to Hurricane Helene last year, or Hurricane Sandy on the Northeast. A $1 Billion storm is not big deal for the US (unless you’re the one getting hit of course). A $1 Billion storm for smaller countries is devastating.
Elsewhere, both Atlantic and East Pacific have storms and disturbances, but none are a threat this morning. Fernand is in the middle Atlantic headed north, Juliette is off of Mexico and headed out to sea, Invest #1 (AL99) in the Atlantic has little chance of spinning up right now. Here’s the maps for your embiggening pleasure if you need to click (which, because I don’t run ads, doesn’t matter to me either way 😛 ) …


If you like this kind of content, you can subscribe to the emails (and/or donate to shame me in to writing more of it) at this link. You can also follow us on X/Twitter (@EnkiResearch), Telegram, BlueSky, or even Facebook if that’s your preferred social media Dystopia.
for the record
