The invest area in the far north Atlantic (not the one in the Caribbean) has developed enough tropical characteristics for NHC to start advisories as Subtropical Storm Patty …
It’s a bit of a hybrid storm, it does have a warm core and convection but has some non-tropical characteristics as well. You can see the cold front (the arc of clouds ahead of the storm) it was associated with. Still, it does have tropical storm force winds, so NHC started tracking it. This kind of system is why it is always a bit dicey trying to compare annual storm numbers over time – 20 years ago it is unlikely this would have been classified as a tropical system (and 50 years ago almost certainly would not). Patty could be a problem for Spain, which has seen catastrophic flooding over the last week (click for link to BBC article). Over 200 known deaths and still many missing from epic flash floods this week.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, still watching the western Caribbean, where the models insist something will brew up …
There are no “magic words” in the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook, but they do note the system north of Puerto Rico (“2”) may bring flash flooding to the islands of the northern Caribbean (including PR). System #1 (80% red blob of doom) will probably be our next storm. It looks to cross Cuba and in five days may be a tropical storm or hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, here from the GFS model …
The Pacific remains active as well. Tropical Storm Lane is in the central Pacific, but should dissipate in the next 3-4 days well away from land. And still tracking Tropical Storm Kong-Rey as it heads towards Japan, after causing significant impacts to Taiwan and some impacts on the mainland as well.
Unfortunately, the brief attempt at fundraising yesterday was pretty successful so I guess I’m stuck doing this for a while longer. If you would like to join in the efforts to stop me from shutting down, you can go to this link (click here) to donate and relate stories as to how the blog helps you stay sane during severe weather and guilt me in to continuing 😛 .
What does Chuck say? Is the go to in my house.
I love your blog fitting the storm season and I did set up a monthly donation – thank you so much – please don’t stop
Please stay guilty and keep me sane!!
My college kid lives in Savannah. I live in VT- and have different types of weather. Your blog has been the lifeline to know when to worry, and is supremely educational. The night she spent in her bathtub during the tornado warnings was well informed by the radio you suggested. Thank you for all you do!
I was happy to guilt you into continuing via my annual contribution. I don’t watch local weather so your reporting is hugely important to us. Whatever it takes we want you to keep us sane.
I hope you aren’t feeling too ‘stuck’ because we love what you do and hope to have you keeping us from freaking out for years to come!!!🙂💕